Imagine a salesman called
you up on the phone and told you that for just a few thousand dollars
or so, he could give you a software program or computer chip that
would allow you to automatically play the piano (or any instrument) in
your home like a professional musician and you would never have to
practice again.
You could amaze all your
friends and family with your newfound skills. You would probably laugh
the man off the phone. But if the same man offered to sell you a
mechanical trading system that would make you wealthy without having
to do any work, would you still laugh?
"Many people
don't and they are eager to purchase such a system, but..."
.traders who believe in the
myth that you can just hand over your hard earned capital to a
computer program and sit back and collect checks and build wealth are
not dealing with reality. They are driven by greed and laziness.
They want to make the money
successful traders do, yet they do not want to put in the hard work
necessary to develop the skills needed to become and stay successful.
Just think about it for a
minute. If this were so, why don't the best and most successful
traders just go out and buy the best one or two systems out there,
hand them over a broker and just have them execute the systems while
they lay on their beach chair in Tahiti and collect a never ending
stream of checks from their trading account?
You wonder, because you see
they are still coming in early and staying late and working their
tails off to make their trading work. It's just not that simple. If it
were, there would be no money left for all of us who wish to trade and
make money. This is because the few or everyone who just bought the
best system out there would hoard all the money and ruin the game.
"In Trading,
You See, There Have To Be Losers For The Winners To Earn Money."
Complex human activities
cannot be automated. Driving your car, flying an airplane, playing an
instrument are just some of the examples of activities that cannot be
programmed into a computer and work all the time.
Some of the elements of
these activities can be programmed for sure, but the bottom line is
that a human needs to apply their skills and talents to make the whole
thing work when unexpected situations, such as when the Fed announces
interest rate decisions, the government announces they are going to
stop issuing 30 yr T-Bonds etc. arise.
Trading is no different.
As long as there has been
trading and investing, there have been trading programs sold to the
public. Most of these systems are sold for $3000 to $10,000 and up. I
find it hard to believe that there has been a system sold to the
public, which has produced consistent profits for more than one, or
two years before the account was wiped out or that the individual just
hung it up. Most of these systems sold are scams.
"That's Why
RS Of Houston Workshop Doesn't Sell You A System -- We Teach You a
Methodology."
.which you can use with
your skills and talents to make decisions that will increase your odds
of making consistent money in the markets.
One needs to learn to
interpret market behavior and make decisions accordingly. Sometimes
the markets are sideways and very dull, sometimes they are very
volatile, and sometimes they run stops and reverse very quickly. These
are all elements that go into trading decisions and a computer cannot
see and/or feel these movements.
You get paid on the
basis of how well you develop your trading skill. Trading is an
art form and there is a certain amount of discretion and judgment on
the part of the trader that is needed to make it work.
Not long ago, a well-known
newsletter writer and successful trader (Robert Miner) posed a
challenge to the readers of Club 3000. The following information is an
excerpt from his comments on trading systems. Club 3000 is a
newsletter that provides information and reviews of the current
systems sold on the markets. Many of them sold for $3000, hence the
name Club 3000.
His challenge was for.
.Any Of The
Readers/Traders To Provide Evidence Of Ever Having Had A Single,
Profitable Year From Taking Every Trade Of A System That They Had
Purchased."
Not a single system
purchaser or developer was able to provide any evidence of a
profitable year by the purchased system. Surprised? We are not.
Why does this myth or
illusion continue?
We believe there are two
reasons. The first is that many of us want to believe there is an easy
way. Many of us want to believe there is some formula or holy grail
that is out there and can be purchased which leads to trading profits
and guarantees success.
Whole industries are built
on this myth. Bottom line.
"Success cannot be purchased. It must be earned!"
Trading is an art form that
requires a time, commitment and practice. You must gain a certain
amount of knowledge and make decisions. Judgment will always be
required for success.
The second reason is that
system software for testing trading ideas has become so easy and
affordable to get. The left-brain trading junkies have a field day
with system testing software. Most make it easy to test a certain set
of trading rules.
Most people don't
understand that a set of rules that will be profitable can be
developed with any set of data. Even data randomly generated. But wait
until you apply that set of rules to new data randomly generated under
different market conditions. Get the point?
The most common complaint
is that it worked before I traded it and that the developer is re
optimizing these rules for the last 3 months to make the next 3
better.
What a
bunch of horse doo doo!
Most of these developers
have no actual trading experience.
Still interested in system
trading? Futures magazine tracks the results of most of the public
futures trading funds. Public funds are all system traders. For
practical purposes they have unlimited computer, financial, and
brainpower to develop and trade these systems. In 1995 the S&P was up
35% for the year.
In 1995 the average gain of
the 205 public funds tracked by Futures was just 12.11%. About one
quarter of the funds were down for the year. Only 19 or less than one
out of ten funds beat the S&P for that year. None of them has ever
beaten the S&P three years in a row.
Most of these public funds
have more than 10 million under management, some a lot more.
Altogether they represent billions of trading dollars. This is just a
drop in the bucket compared to all the private trading funds.
"How much do
you think it would be worth to any of these funds to be able to buy
one of these profitable mechanical systems?"
You couldn't count that
high!
Now, given this little bit
of information above, do you still think you can go out and buy a
profitable mechanical system? Hopefully you are thinking straight now
and get the message that.
.Trading Is Work!
Success cannot be
purchased. It's just that simple. However trading can be a lot of fun
and quite profitable when approached correctly.
"RS Of Houston Workshop Gives You The Tools And Support
You Need To Make Good And Consistent Trading Decisions That Will Last
You A Lifetime."
It's simple. It just takes
education and practice under real trading circumstances to learn to
trade, or to quote Tom Baldwin, one of the largest bond traders in the
CBOT Bond pit:
"Trading is like any other
occupation, if you hang around long enough you're going to pick it
up".
The reason most people
don't is that they take too much risk, taking on positions that are
too big for their account size and/or risking too much pr. trade, and
"blow out" (i.e. lose all their trading capital) before they've had
the chance to learn anything.
"Our
Objective at the RS of Houston Workshop is to Provide You with the
Risk Management and Trading Tools you Need for Survival in these
Markets so you can Thrive and Prosper."
Get in touch with us and
let us show you how you can become a real professional trader and live
the life you really want. We are proud that
our students tell us we
offer the best trading course around.
Take our course and you
will see why. We trade and teach live, real-time actual trading. We
are not aware of anyone advertising a course out there who trades or
teaches real-time with real money. We are the only ones. We have over
25 years combined trading experience that you can really benefit from.
That's why you want to learn from us. Give us a call at (281)
286-9736. You will be glad you did.